A forecasting model for estimating the generated amount of household biowaste and food waste
Elīna Dāce, Tatjana Tambovceva

Description of the Technology

 The model is based on the assumption that the amount of generated waste depends on the population and level of prosperity. Accordingly, the model uses socio-economic data and their development forecasts in the section of territorial units of Latvia. As a result, data are obtained on the forecasted amount of generated municipal, biological and food waste in different territorial areas, as well as on the costs of collecting this waste for households, depending on the chosen scenario (for example, prevention, complete separate collection, partial separate collection, non-existent separate collection). The model is created in a user-friendly interface, and the obtained results can be visualized in various formats (graph, map).



Applications

The model is designed to provide significant support to local authorities, policy makers, waste management companies and other decision-makers, planning and developing the capacity of the food and biological waste management system and the necessary waste processing infrastructure in a specific area.



Advantages

The model serves as a decision-making support tool, as it allows predicting the flow of household waste to be processed in the waste management system and accordingly planning the capacity and load of the necessary infrastructure in a territorial unit. The model allows creating and analyzing various system development scenarios, quantitatively evaluating them and justifying decisions made. Also, the model can serve as a support tool for the development of municipal regulations and regional waste management plans. Waste management companies can use the model to plan their activities in the respective territory. 



Keywords

biowaste,food waste,waste amount forecasts,waste recycling,decision-making,circular economy

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