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Publikācija: Modelling Energy Production Flexibility: System Dynamics Approach

Publication Type Scientific article indexed in SCOPUS or WOS database
Funding for basic activity Research project
Defending: ,
Publication language English (en)
Title in original language Modelling Energy Production Flexibility: System Dynamics Approach
Field of research 2. Engineering and technology
Sub-field of research 2.7 Environmental engineering and energetics
Authors Armands Grāvelsiņš
Gatis Bažbauers
Andra Blumberga
Dagnija Blumberga
Simon Bolwig
Antje Klitkou
Peter D. Lund
Keywords energy transition energy flexibility system dynamics modelling low carbon energy systems sustainable energy system
Abstract Article shows how system dynamics modelling (SDM) approach could be used in modelling the energy transition towards low carbon energy system. SDM can be used to combine the techno-economic and socio-technical analysis. The study considers flexibility issues related to integration of renewable energy sources. Simplified model structure is made to illustrate how flexibility as well as other socio-technical aspects might be modelled. Results of the model correspond to the behavior anticipated from the model structure. Namely, model imitates effects of technological disruption which rises the limits of intermittent power production from renewable sources which can be integrated into power system. The limits are increased stepwise, as a share of intermittent power production reaches certain threshold value, resulting in sequence of S-shaped growth. This study presents flexibility increase of a power system conceptually and more detailed study should uncover leverage points which could stimulate this increase and thus, transition to sustainable energy system.
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2018.07.060
Hyperlink: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1876610218302169 
Reference Grāvelsiņš, A., Bažbauers, G., Blumberga, A., Blumberga, D., Bolwig, S., Klitkou, A., Lund, P. Modelling Energy Production Flexibility: System Dynamics Approach. Energy Procedia, 2018, Vol.147, pp.503-509. ISSN 1876-6102. Available from: doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2018.07.060
Additional information Citation count:
ID 27776