Is Team Always Right: Producing Risk Aware Effort Estimates in Agile Development

Perspectives in Business Informatics Research: 19th International Conference on Business Informatics Research (BIR 2020). Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing. Vol. 398 2020
Jānis Grabis, Vineta Minkēviča, Bohdan Haidabrus, Rolands Popovs

Agile development methods promote involvement of team members in development effort estimation using expert methods. However, valuable information might be missed out during the consensus seeking procedure and some of judgments are not properly accounted for. This paper proposes a simulation based effort estimation method. The method evaluates a risk of effort underestimation due to misrepresenting the judgments made by individual team members. It does not require additional inputs and is intended as a tool to suggest estimation process improvements if estimation errors are observed. Properties of the method are analyzed in simulation studies and preliminary empirical evidence is gathered.

Keywords
Agile effort estimation, Process improvement, Risk awareness
DOI
10.1007/978-3-030-61140-8_7
Hyperlink
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-030-61140-8_7

Grabis, J., Minkēviča, V., Haidabrus, B., Popovs, R. Is Team Always Right: Producing Risk Aware Effort Estimates in Agile Development. In: Perspectives in Business Informatics Research: 19th International Conference on Business Informatics Research (BIR 2020). Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing. Vol. 398, Austria, Vienna, 21-23 September, 2020. Cham: Springer Nature Switzerland AG, 2020, pp.101-110. ISBN 978-3-030-61139-2. e-ISBN 978-3-030-61140-8. ISSN 1865-1348. e-ISSN 1865-1356. Available from: doi:10.1007/978-3-030-61140-8_7

Publication language
English (en)