A Probabilistic Approach to Assessing Passenger Survival in Aircraft Accidents near an Airport are

Transactions on Aerospace Research 2024
Julija Soldatova, Leonīds Vinogradovs, Vladimirs Šestakovs

This study proposes a probabilistic model to assess the likelihood of passenger survival in fires resulting from aircraft accidents. The model evaluates the risk of passenger death in a fire, considering the type of aircraft and airline. By comparing the time available for passengers to fully evacuate a burning plane with the time required for evacuation using modern means and technologies, onboard rescue equipment, and the qualifications of crew members and rescue personnel, we introduce a comprehensive approach to quantify passenger survival rates. Additionally, the concept of the hazard coefficient is introduced, which accounts for factors such as cabin temperature and toxic components

Keywords
aircraft; aviation incident; statistical model; probability of experiencing an aviation incident; probability of surviving an aviation incident
DOI
10.2478/tar-2024-0017
Hyperlink
https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/tar-2024-0017

Soldatova, J., Vinogradovs, L., Šestakovs, V. A Probabilistic Approach to Assessing Passenger Survival in Aircraft Accidents near an Airport are. Transactions on Aerospace Research, 2024, Vol. 2024, No. 3, pp.77-85. e-ISSN 2545-2835. Available from: doi:10.2478/tar-2024-0017

Publication language
English (en)