Application of Extrapolation Methods to the Technology Diffusion Forecasting

2007
Irina Kļevecka, Jānis Lelis

The research is dedicated to the application of extrapolation methods to predicting the development of telecommunications networks and products. The complex approach of evaluating the reliability of produced forecasts is discussed in detail and illustrated with the example of Latvian networks.

Keywords
Diffusion of technologies, technological forecasting, extrapolation, logistic model, Gompertz model, Weibull model, confidence intervals

Kļevecka, I., Lelis, J. Application of Extrapolation Methods to the Technology Diffusion Forecasting. Telecommunications and Electronics. Vol.7, 2007, pp.52-59. ISSN 1407-8880.

Publication language
English (en)